British Pound climbs on soft US data despite Warsh’s hawkish tilt
The Pound Sterling (GBP) registers a 0.14% gain on Wednesday amid broad US Dollar (USD) strength and comments by the Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Kevin Warsh, who reiterated that the central bank would not provide forward guidance, despite accepting that inflation remains too high. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD pair trades at 1.3277 […]
ISM Manufacturing PMI set to maintain expansion in the US factory sector
Attention shifts to Wednesday’s release of the June ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), one of the most closely followed indicators of activity in the US manufacturing sector and an important barometer of the broader economy. Markets expect the headline index to remain unchanged at 54, matching May’s print. That would be the sixth consecutive […]
Recovery seen shallow without USD fade – OCBC
Christopher Wong at OCBC notes USD/THB’s recent rebound is running into interim resistance around 33.40 after a sharp move higher. Bank of Thailand officials attribute THB weakness mainly to broad USD strength and Thai equity outflows, while signalling readiness to manage excessive FX moves. Softer Oil may slow USD/THB upside, but THB recovery could stay […]
Australian Dollar advances as hawkish RBA Minutes meet firmer US confidence data
AUD/USD trades higher near 0.6915 on Tuesday as investors digest the latest Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Meeting Minutes and a modest improvement in United States (US) Consumer Confidence. The Australian Dollar (AUD) found some support from the RBA’s hawkish tone, although the US Dollar (USD) remained neutral after falling partially due to end-of-quarter profit-taking. […]
Upside risks linger as recovery questioned – ING
ING strategists Michiel Tukker and Benjamin Schroeder note that Oil has returned to pre-war levels but argue the market is overly optimistic about the speed and durability of the supply recovery. They highlight an unstable balance between demand, physical buying and strategic reserves, and stress that second-round inflation risks and Oil’s future trajectory will only […]
Why is the DXY US Dollar Index declining despite hawkish Fed expectations?
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, continues its losing streak for the third consecutive day and is trading around 101.20 during the European hours on Monday. The US Dollar remains subdued on easing safe-haven demand following reports that Washington and Tehran have agreed […]
Exports and inflation support rate hike path – DBS
DBS Group Research’s Ma Tieying expects South Korea’s June exports to remain very strong, with year-on-year growth around 50–60% and the trade surplus widening above USD30bn. AI-related semiconductor demand and higher memory prices are seen offsetting energy imports. Headline and core CPI are forecast to rise further, and the Bank of Korea is projected to […]
AI-linked momentum but 2027 slowdown – HSBC
HSBC notes that Thailand’s 1Q26 growth beat expectations on the back of strong electronics exports and robust private investment and consumption, supported by AI-related activity and fiscal stimulus. However, non-AI sectors face Chinese competition, and consumption is expected to cool as subsidies fade. The bank upgrades 2026 growth but cuts its 2027 forecast and sees […]
Gains momentum against US Dollar – OCBC
OCBC’s FX strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that USD/SGD has eased as US Dollar (USD) momentum softened on core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data, with the pair around 1.2960. Bullish daily momentum remains, but Relative Strength Index (RSI) is turning lower from overbought, and they are monitoring whether this turnaround […]
Strong growth but rising inflation risks – HSBC
HSBC portrays Vietnam as one of Asia’s fastest-growing economies, supported by booming electronics exports and import-intensive manufacturing. However, a widening trade deficit and elevated Oil prices are eroding the current account surplus and pushing inflation above the State Bank of Vietnam’s ceiling. The bank trims its external surplus forecast and raises its 2026 inflation projection. […]
