Supply risks and cautious OPEC+ hike – BNY
BNY’s Bob Savage reports that Brent and WTI surged around 4–5% as Iran–Israel missile exchanges raised fears of supply disruption and higher global inflation. Savage notes EU natural gas also climbed, while OPEC+ members agreed a modest 188,000 b/d production increase from July 2026 with flexibility to adjust. The balance between conflict risk and incremental […]
IRGC retaliates by attacking petrochemical site in northern Israeli city of Haifa
According to the Fars news agency, Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) has confirmed attacking a petrochemical site in northern Israeli city of Haifa, in retaliation for Israel’s attack on a similar plant in Iran, The Guardian reported. “We warn you; by taking action against civilian targets and targeting oil industries, the Zionist enemy has started […]
Indonesian Rupiah hits historic lows as forex reserves plunge
USD/IDR extends its gains for the fifth successive day, trading around 18,200 after hitting an all-time high of 18,210 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair appreciates as the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) faces renewed pressure from growing fiscal anxieties, new commodity export policies, and skepticism surrounding Bank Indonesia’s (BI) operational autonomy. These domestic strains […]
Australian Dollar softens as Middle East tensions, stronger jobs report boost US Dollar
The AUD/USD pair remains under selling pressure near 0.7035 during the early Asian session on Monday. The Australian Dollar (AUD) extends the decline against the US Dollar (USD) amid escalating tensions in the Middle East and stronger-than-expected US economic data. Iran has fired multiple waves of missiles at northern Israel over the weekend. Iranian officials […]
Firm NEER with mild upside against US Dollar – OCBC
OCBC’s FX Strategist Sim Moh Siong expects the Singapore Dollar (SGD) Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) to trade 1.5–2% above midpoint, supported by de-dollarisation and safe-haven flows, even as reduced carry tempers its appeal. With Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) having tightened in April and further tightening possible later in 2026, Siong projects USD/SGD to […]
US yields rocket as stellar NFP sparks Fed hike bets
US Treasury yields skyrocket across the whole curve on Friday, with the 2-year Treasury note yield rising over 12 basis points, while the benchmark note, the 10-year, surges six basis points following an outstanding Nonfarm Payrolls report. Treasury yields surge after payrolls crush forecasts, lifting Dollar At the time of writing, the US 2-year Treasury […]
New Zealand Dollar heads for 3% weekly loss as robust US payrolls data lifts US Dollar
NZD/USD slips to its lowest level since April on Friday as the US Dollar (USD) receives fresh bids in the wake of solid US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 0.5800 and is heading for a weekly loss of nearly 3%. The US economy added 172K jobs in […]
BoT seen holding rates as inflation stays supply-led – UOB
UOB’s Global Economics & Markets Research, led by Enrico Tanuwidjaja and Sathit Talaengsatya, argues that Thailand’s latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data confirm a cost-push rather than demand-led inflation backdrop. They keep headline inflation forecasts at 1.4% for 2026 and 1.2% for 2027 and expect the BoT to maintain the 1-day repo rate at 1.00% […]
US Dollar ends week higher after strong NFP
The US Dollar (USD) rallied to near 100.10 on Friday, rising from a daily low of 99.16, after the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report showed the economy added 172K jobs in May, well above the 85K expected, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could raise interest rates later this year. The US Unemployment Rate […]
Policy focus on stability as BI mandate widens – DBS
DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao highlights that Indonesia’s onshore markets are under pressure, with the Rupiah at record lows and equities near six‑year lows. She notes that Bank Indonesia’s mandate will be broadened to include the real sector, while fiscal and oil‑related pressures build. Despite the expanded mandate, DBS expects monetary policy to stay […]
