Gold price slips as Trump says Iran ceasefire is over
Gold (XAU/USD) price retreats on Friday during the North American session, pressured by US President Donald Trump’s comments allowing the resumption of US-Iran talks, but reiterating that the ceasefire is “over.” The XAU/USD pair trades at around $4,103, down 0.48%. XAU/USD falls as renewed war risks lift yields and Dollar The yellow metal seems poised […]
Weakness risks persist – MUFG
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan highlights the Indonesian rupiah’s continued vulnerability as USD/IDR moved back above 18,000 amid renewed Middle East tensions and elevated US yields. Although attractive government bond and SRBI yields have supported foreign inflows into the bond market, persistent net foreign equity outflows leave the balance of risks tilted toward further rupiah weakness. External […]
Rate hike support from exports and inflation – DBS
DBS economists Radhika Rao and Mo Ji expect the Bank of Korea (BoK) to raise its base rate to 2.75% from 2.50% in July, citing persistent CPI inflation above 3% and resilient growth. They highlight robust exports and investment linked to the AI (Artificial intelligence) boom and note that Korean Won weakness and portfolio outflows […]
US CPI and Warsh testimony to test the Dollar’s recovery
The upcoming week will bring a major test for the US Dollar (USD), with investors focusing on the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI), Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Kevin Warsh’s congressional testimony and a broad set of activity indicators. China’s second-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) interest-rate decision will also […]
CBC inflation risks support against US Dollar – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s report on Taiwan notes that stronger inflation, with core CPI at 2.5%, is likely to push the CBC towards a more hawkish stance, including a possible 12.5 bp hike in H2. Despite robust AI-driven exports and firm domestic demand, USD/TWD has risen to 32.19, though analysts expect a potential pullback once seasonal dividend outflows […]
Lower high structure holds, bear’s eye $55.00
Silver price retreats on Friday during the North American session, edging down by 0.54%, weighed by high US Treasury yields and a sudden shift in market sentiment, after US President Trump revealed that the ceasefire is “over.” At the time of writing, the XAG/USD trades at $59.66. XAG/USD Price Forecast: Technical Outlook Silver is downward […]
Resilient GDP and strong NODX – DBS
DBS economists Radhika Rao and Mo Ji forecast Singapore’s advance 2Q26 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth at 5.8% year-on-year and 1.5% quarter-on-quarter seasonally adjusted, slightly below 1Q26 but still resilient. They cite strong manufacturing and wholesale trade on AI-related electronics demand, robust modern services and construction, and expect non-oil domestic exports to post a fourth […]
Reflation gap weighs against US Dollar – Commerzbank
Commerzbank analysts highlight that China’s June Consumer Price Index (CPI) slowed to 1.0% year-on-year while Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 4.1%, widening the PPI-CPI gap and squeezing downstream margins. The PBoC acknowledged “structural divergence” between high-tech strength and weak consumption. Despite this backdrop, USD/CNY and USD/CNH both fell, reflecting some currency strength even as domestic […]
Range-bound trade outlook against US Dollar – UOB
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang notes USD/SGD remains range-bound, with intraday action expected between 1.2905 and 1.2940 as recent price moves provided no fresh directional clues. Over the next one to three weeks, the bank sees mild downward pressure as having eased, projecting a broader 1.2890–1.2990 range. On a one to three month horizon, a break […]
Inflation risks stay skewed higher – ING
ING economists Deepali Bhargava and Lynn Song project India’s consumer inflation to edge up to 4.2% year-on-year in June, while wholesale inflation moderates to 9%. They highlight that lower Brent prices should ease wholesale costs, but persistent retail fuel prices, firmer food inflation and sticky core pressures keep overall inflation risks tilted to the upside […]
