Strong flows face real-rate risks – BNY
Geoff Yu at BNY highlights that Latin American (LatAm) equities have attracted strong inflows thanks to improved terms of trade and resilient currencies. However, higher real rates and tighter financial conditions could eventually pressure earnings, potentially triggering softer equity performance and increased currency hedging demand. Regional stocks resilient but vulnerable “LatAm economies are also exposed […]
Bulls eye 200-EMA breakout near 1.3770 ahead FOMC
The USD/CAD pair attracts some dip-buyers on Wednesday and climbs to the 1.3765-1.3770 region during the first half of the European session, back closer to its highest level since April 14, touched the previous day. The intraday move up is sponsored by a combination of supporting factors, as traders now look forward to the release […]
British Pound stays defensive vs JPY on UK politics, ahead of CPI
The GBP/JPY cross remains depressed for the second consecutive day on Wednesday, though it lacks follow-through selling and holds above the previous day’s swing low. Spot prices currently trade below the 213.00 mark, down just over 0.10% for the day, as traders opt to wait for the latest UK consumer inflation figures before placing fresh […]
Australian Dollar weakens below 0.7100 on Middle East uncertainties
The AUD/USD pair loses momentum to near 0.7095 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. Geopolitical uncertainties and elevated crude oil prices weigh on the Australian Dollar (AUD) against the US Dollar (USD). Traders will closely monitor the release of the Australian April employment report, which is due on Thursday. US President Donald Trump […]
US Dollar rallies on strong ADP jobs data and Trump’s Iran remarks
Here is what you need to know for Wednesday, May 20: The US Dollar Index (DXY) strengthens toward the 99.30 region after the latest ADP employment report showed US private employers added 42,250 jobs on average over the previous four weeks, marking the strongest reading since the weekly series began in October 2025. Meanwhile, United […]
Mixed April data signals challenges – HSBC
HSBC reviews China’s April 2026 data, noting soft Retail Sales and a sharp fall in Fixed Asset Investment alongside resilient services and solid Industrial Production. CPI remains stable while PPI accelerates on Oil and AI-related demand. Exports and Imports both show strong year-on-year gains, reflecting external AI demand and industrial upgrading despite domestic demand headwinds. […]
Dow Jones stumbles as bond vigilantes line up to test Warsh
The Dow gave up a chunk of last week’s record run on Tuesday, sliding back from the 50K handle it had briefly tagged days earlier, with the broader equity tape leaning lower as bonds did the heavy lifting on the downside. Futures opened the session with a tentative bid after Trump’s overnight reversal on Iran, […]
Supply risks and Russian waiver extension – ING
ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey say Oil remains volatile as Iran-related risks and supply disruptions in the Persian Gulf keep prices in wide ranges. They highlight a fresh US waiver allowing Russian Oil floating at sea to be sold for another 30 days, which should help Asian buyers. Chinese refinery runs and apparent […]
We would open new fronts against US if it resumes war
According to Iran’s Iranian Students’ News Agency (ISNA), Iran’s army has warned it would “open new fronts” against the United States (US) if it resumes attacks on the country, The Guardian reported. “If the enemy is foolish enough to fall into the Zionist trap again and launch new aggression against our beloved Iran, we will open […]
Sensitive to Iran headlines after pullback – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team reports that Brent Crude slipped about 2% to USD 109.8 per barrel after President Trump paused a large-scale strike on Iran to allow negotiations. They add that a US sanctions waiver on Russian seaborne crude and record US reserve draws have left Oil markets highly sensitive to any renewed escalation in the […]
