AUD/USD Price Forecast: Aussie rejected at 0.7100, upside risks persist
The Australian Dollar (AUD) is poised to end Friday’s session flat against the US Dollar (USD), even though an improvement in market mood drove the Greenback toward four-week lows near 98.52, according to the US Dollar Index (DXY). Source link
Exports boosted by electronics cycle – DBS
DBS Group Research expects Singapore’s non-oil domestic exports to rise for a seventh consecutive month in March 2026, accelerating to 10.3% year-on-year from 4.0% in February. Electronics exports are seen outperforming on global AI demand, while non-electronics may rebound as Lunar New Year base effects fade, though petrochemicals likely face pressure from a Middle East-related […]
War risk keeps 1,450–1,550 range in focus – ING
ING’s Min Joo Kang notes that KRW is trading below 1,500, with near-term moves heavily dependent on Middle East developments. The team keeps its 1,450–1,550 trading range, expecting KRW to strengthen rapidly if the war ends. They argue recent KRW weakness stems mainly from foreign equity profit-taking, with attractive Korean equity valuations helping to stabilise […]
Trade normalization and growth risks – TD Securities
TD Securities expects China’s March exports to normalize after a strong Jan–Feb report, while imports could surprise on the upside as authorities stockpile key goods and commodities during the US–Iran conflict. Rising input costs may slow production and weigh on exports. The bank projects Q1 GDP at 4.8% y/y, supported by strong exports and manufacturing […]
Solid GDP and contained inflation – DBS
DBS Group Research expects Malaysia’s 1Q26 advance Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to grow 5.5% year-on-year, slightly below 6.3% in 4Q25 but still robust. Growth is seen supported by export-oriented electrical and electronics manufacturing, global AI tailwinds, construction and domestic demand. Headline inflation is projected to rise modestly to 1.7% in March, with oil-driven pressures cushioned […]
Inflation pressures build with energy – ING
ING’s Chief Economist for Greater China, Lynn Song, notes that China’s CPI inflation eased to 1.0% year-on-year after Lunar New Year, while PPI turned positive for the first time since 2022. The report highlights rising energy and transportation fuel costs, suggesting further upside for inflation and a gradual shift away from entrenched deflationary expectations in […]
Dow Jones gives back recent gains as ceasefire doubts resurface
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) slumps around 300 points on Friday, or roughly 0.6%, retreating from the 48,000 handle after two sessions of ceasefire-fueled gains. The S&P 500 dips 0.15% while the Nasdaq Composite bucks the trend, edging 0.2% higher as mega-cap tech provided a thin buffer against the broader selloff. The reversal came […]
Neutral rate debate supports gradual gains – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur expects the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to deliver two further rate hikes in 2026, taking policy closer to a rising neutral rate and supporting a modest Japanese Yen appreciation versus Dollar (USD) and Euro (EUR) in the second half of the year. He also projects USD/JPY and EUR/JPY to edge lower from […]
Inflation focus into CPI release – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Global Strategy Team highlights that United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) is the key event, with core inflation expected to rise 0.27% m/m and headline CPI to jump 0.90% m/m as higher Oil prices feed through. They note markets may look through any temporary weakness, while a stronger print could intensify inflation […]
War burden and spending power – UBS
UBS economist Paul Donovan discusses how US March consumer price inflation highlights US consumers’ war-related burden and affordability concerns. He notes that inflation perceptions are driven by frequent purchases like food and fuel, and that concentrated inflation in categories such as furniture may limit broader damage to spending power. Donovan also links affordability to political […]
