Momentum weakens, downside risks build below 0.6900

Momentum weakens, downside risks build below 0.6900

The Australian Dollar (AUD) edges lower against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, with AUD/USD extending losses for a fourth straight day as the Greenback remains broadly supported amid ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 0.6866, slipping to fresh two-month lows. The US Dollar […]

Energy shock risks and policy playbook – Societe Generale

Energy shock risks and policy playbook – Societe Generale

Societe Generale’s Kunal Kundu analyses how the Iran conflict exposes India’s macro vulnerabilities through imported energy dependence and trade route risks. Kundu highlights broad spillovers from higher Oil and gas prices into the consumption basket and external balances. He argues for a calibrated fiscal–monetary mix, with the central bank treating inflation as transitory and targeted […]

Inflation pressures from Oil and festivals – DBS

Inflation pressures from Oil and festivals – DBS

DBS Group Research expects Indonesia’s March CPI inflation to stay firm at 4% year-on-year, slightly below February’s 4.8%, but with a faster monthly pace. Analysts highlight the impact of higher energy prices and festive demand, as well as base effects. Policy options include holding retail fuel prices via budget savings, though prolonged conflict could force […]