Hawkish Fed expectations underpin strength – OCBC

OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that higher Oil prices and renewed US-Iran tensions have pushed global bond yields higher and strengthened the US Dollar, with markets fully pricing a 25bp Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike by October. Fed Governor Barr’s comments that further rate increases may be warranted reinforce this hawkish backdrop, […]

Bank of Canada set to hold interest rates for seventh consecutive meeting

The Bank of Canada (BoC) is widely expected to keep its policy rate unchanged at 2.25% on Wednesday. This would be the seventh consecutive gathering with the central bank sitting on the fence. The BoC left its policy rate unchanged at 2.25% in July, as widely anticipated. The statement and Governor Tiff Macklem said persistent […]

Geopolitical risk keeps cracks elevated – ING

ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note Brent has pushed back above $95/bbl as escalating Persian Gulf tensions revive supply risk and a geopolitical premium. They highlight record ICE gasoil cracks, extreme backwardation and ongoing disruptions to Middle East and Russian diesel exports. ING expects middle distillate cracks to stay highly elevated and volatile […]