Strong growth but rising inflation risks – HSBC

Strong growth but rising inflation risks – HSBC

HSBC portrays Vietnam as one of Asia’s fastest-growing economies, supported by booming electronics exports and import-intensive manufacturing. However, a widening trade deficit and elevated Oil prices are eroding the current account surplus and pushing inflation above the State Bank of Vietnam’s ceiling. The bank trims its external surplus forecast and raises its 2026 inflation projection. […]

Stabilizes on inflows after export miss – Commerzbank

Stabilizes on inflows after export miss – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Thailand section notes May exports rose 10.6% year-on-year, below consensus and sharply slower than April’s 23.1%, with agriculture shipments weak but electronics still resilient. The government forecasts exports to grow 8% in 2026 as front-loading fades. In FX, USD/THB fell 0.2% to 33.35 on strong bond and equity inflows, though THB remains one of […]

Hormuz risk premium still fragile – OCBC

Hormuz risk premium still fragile – OCBC

OCBC’s FX strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that Brent Oil has dropped sharply on optimism over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz after a US–Iran deal, but warn markets may be underpricing security risks. They keep their end-2026 Brent forecast at USD80/bbl and expects a gradual drift toward a low USD60 […]