Limited upside for CAD against US Dollar – Scotiabank

Limited upside for CAD against US Dollar – Scotiabank

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note USD/CAD is trading near fair value around 1.4115, with the Canadian Dollar (CAD) constrained by wide short-term rate differentials versus the Dollar. Softer Oil is a mild drag, and while a Fed hold could allow some CAD gains, they do not expect meaningful improvement until rate spreads […]

Leadership change at BI sustains rupiah pressure – Commerzbank

Leadership change at BI sustains rupiah pressure – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Moses Lim argues that Bank Indonesia Governor Perry Warjiyo’s surprise resignation, following earlier high-profile departures, heightens concerns over policy continuity and institutional credibility as the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) trades near historic lows versus the US Dollar (USD). Market focus now shifts to the choice of successor, with some candidates seen as reassuring and others […]

Political fragmentation clouds zloty outlook – Commerzbank

Political fragmentation clouds zloty outlook – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose highlights that Poland’s Law and Justice party has split, with Mateusz Morawiecki forming Development Plus and polling above the Sejm threshold. While this could, in theory, reduce the risk of a dominant PiS government and lower the zloty’s political risk premium, competing scenarios of a fragmented, harder-to-manage right leave the overall Polish […]