Consolidation near 1.28 with upside risks against US Dollar – OCBC

Consolidation near 1.28 with upside risks against US Dollar – OCBC

OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note USD/SGD is consolidating around 1.28 as softer United States (US) Producer Price Index (PPI) trims Federal Reserve (Fed) hike expectations but fails to trigger fresh US Dollar (USD) selling. While they still see downside risks over time, geopolitical tensions and the pair’s inability to break lower suggest […]

Range-bound near term, stronger in 2027 against Euro – Nordea

Range-bound near term, stronger in 2027 against Euro – Nordea

Nordea strategists see the Norwegian Krone (NOK) broadly stable over the next six months after July’s EUR/NOK decline, driven by higher Oil prices and Norges Bank’s increased NOK purchases. They stress two-sided risks tied to Middle East developments and Oil, but expect a somewhat stronger NOK in 2027 as a weaker US Dollar (USD) and […]

War-driven price effects and inflation – UBS

War-driven price effects and inflation – UBS

UBS economist Paul Donovan discusses how the Gulf war has lifted Oil prices and pushed consumer price inflation above target in major economies. He notes that Energy has a relatively small direct weight in US and EU consumer baskets, but its indirect impact via transport and production is significant. Donovan highlights the complexity of isolating […]

RBI support offsets wider trade gap – Societe Generale

RBI support offsets wider trade gap – Societe Generale

Societe Generale notes India’s headline CPI rose slightly to 4.45% year-on-year in July, backing the RBI’s decision to keep policy unchanged. The central bank has reportedly been active in FX markets as the trade deficit widened. Higher Oil and Gold prices countered dovish Federal Reserve repricing, while non-resident inflows into Indian Government Bonds have helped […]