Range seen around mid‑1.15s against US Dollar – Scotiabank

Range seen around mid‑1.15s against US Dollar – Scotiabank

Scotiabank’s FX team notes EUR/USD is drifting toward 1.15 after a Fed‑driven rally, with euro area CPI broadly in line with expectations and French data briefly lifting the Euro. Rate expectations are stabilizing, with about 42 bps of tightening priced by December. Their fair‑value estimate sits in the mid‑1.15s, with a near‑term 1.1450–1.1550 range. Euro […]

Intervention slows but does not reverse trend – ING

Intervention slows but does not reverse trend – ING

ING’s Chris Turner describes USD/JPY’s rollercoaster, with a 3% drop on reported Japanese intervention followed by a near 2% rebound. He notes that coordinated Fed-Treasury involvement was key in January but now sees the story as having moved on. Turner expects more Japanese FX intervention, yet believes it can only slow, not reverse, the underlying […]

Strong GDP lowers cut risk – TD Securities

Strong GDP lowers cut risk – TD Securities

TD Securities’ Robert Both and Emma Lawrence note that stronger-than-expected Canadian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data support a brighter growth outlook but do not materially change their Bank of Canada (BoC) view. They highlight that Q2 GDP is tracking above BoC projections, yet still expect policy rates to remain unchanged through 2026 before a gradual […]