Stable path with renewed carry interest – ING

Stable path with renewed carry interest – ING

ING analysts Muhammet Mercan, Frantisek Taborsky and James Wilson note that the Turkish Lira (TRY) has stabilised after US-Iran tensions eased, with the Central Bank of Turkey (CBT) maintaining market confidence and a steady USD/TRY path. They highlight reduced but now recovering TRY long positions, lower FX reserves, and project USD/TRY to move gradually toward […]

Supply shock sustains inflation risks – Rabobank

Supply shock sustains inflation risks – Rabobank

Rabobank Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley notes that while risk sentiment has improved and the Dollar’s safe-haven bid has faded, the physical Oil market tells a different story. With the Strait of Hormuz closed, she expects Oil flows to recover only to 80% of pre-war levels by late August, implying persistent inflation and demand disruption […]

War gains unwind as allies resist blockade – DBS

War gains unwind as allies resist blockade – DBS

DBS Group Research’s Philip Wee notes that the US Dollar (USD) has given back most of its Iran‑war related strength, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) down this month and nearing pre‑conflict levels. He links Dollar softness to resilient equities, contained Brent prices below $100, and a growing refusal by US allies to escalate the […]