Wait-and-see stance after weak jobs – Commerzbank

Wait-and-see stance after weak jobs – Commerzbank

Commerzbank Senior Economist Dr. Christoph Balz notes that US employment fell by 92,000 in February, far below expectations, with revisions also lowering prior months. He highlights possible distortions from a strike and cold weather. Balz expects the US Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at upcoming meetings as it waits for clearer labor market […]

Upside risks build on data and geopolitics – OCBC

Upside risks build on data and geopolitics – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that recent US labour data and escalating Middle East tensions are supporting the Dollar. Stabilising jobless claims and sharply lower Challenger layoffs precede a key payrolls release that could shift the Federal Reserve toward a more symmetric stance. A stronger-than-expected jobs report is seen as potentially […]

Japanese Yen underperforms as Iran conflict prompts BoJ policy uncertainty

Japanese Yen underperforms as Iran conflict prompts BoJ policy uncertainty

The Japanese Yen (JPY) trades lower against its major currency peers, with the USD/JPY pair rising to near 157.75, in the late Asian trade on Friday. The Japanese currency is under pressure as market participants expect the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to hold interest rates steady for a prolonged period amid conflicts in the Middle […]

New Zealand Dollar gathers strength above 0.5900 ahead of US jobs data

New Zealand Dollar gathers strength above 0.5900 ahead of US jobs data

The NZD/USD pair gathers strength to near 0.5910 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The potential upside might be limited amid the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. The US employment report for February will be the highlight later on Friday.  Iran has retaliated by firing missiles and drones across the Gulf region, striking […]

USD/MXN jumps above 17.70 as Middle East war spurs risk-off

USD/MXN jumps above 17.70 as Middle East war spurs risk-off

The Mexican Peso (MXN) depreciates sharply on Thursday as hostilities intensify in the Middle East, triggering a flight to safety, which underpinned the US Dollar (USD). Additionally, solid jobs data in the US decreased the chances that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might cut rates twice this year. At the time of writing, the USD/MXN pair […]

Rate cut repricing and inflation risks – Rabobank

Rate cut repricing and inflation risks – Rabobank

Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley notes that the Pound has been one of the better performing G10 currencies recently, supported by reduced expectations for Bank of England easing. The bank no longer expects further BoE rate cuts this year, citing sticky UK inflation, higher gas prices and the UK’s sensitivity to energy costs, which […]